Blue Jays at Orioles: Miss

The pick

Result

Miss -1.00u

Record after this brick

13–13 · -0.06u

Recap, Sep 21, 2026

Blue Jays 3, Orioles 4. Road moneyline does not cash.

Toronto jumped out 3–0 in the first on Lukes, Springer, and a Keys sac fly. Pete Alonso answered immediately with a solo shot, then Gunnar Henderson cut it to 3–2 in the sixth. Alonso's two-run homer in the eighth flipped it for good. That was the ballgame.

We bought Yesavage's WHIP against Baz's season at a near-even number. Yesavage lasted only two innings with one earned before the bullpen took over. Baz ate 6.2 with three earned after the first-inning mess — enough innings for the Orioles' bats to climb back. The arm mismatch we sold never got a full sample.

The fade we named was the knee IL risk and Oriole Park playing big. Yesavage did not scratch, but he also did not go deep. Three homers to Alonso and Henderson turned a 3–0 lead into a one-run loss. The number never held.

Yesterday's Braves ML cashed at four. Tonight the Blue Jays side stalls at three.